We have the subject of protectionism

[jrineakter]

We have the problem, for example, linked to Mercosur. At the time when the Barnier government fell, Ursula von der Leyen, who heads the European Commission, went to South America to say "we are going to ratify the Mercosur treaty", which is very controversial in France, because France is an agricultural country. We have a strong agriculture. So, it declined, but in any case we have a strong agriculture. And this treaty is not good for French farmers. And yet, Europe wants to impose it.

So, you see, there are issues. I can't talk about all the issues in detail here, but it's a real risk. And if we don't have a strong government with a strong voice, well, we won't be able to manage these issues.
comes back with the election of Donald Trump, who will… by the time I publish this video, he will have resumed his functions. But there you go, that is also a subject. Can we prepare for protectionism? Can we respond?

And finally, we also have the return of empires, the end of happy globalization, where everything was focused on trade. We have powerful states that want to recover areas that were their areas of influence in the past. I'm not going to name anyone, but there are a certain number of them. And all of that, in fact, is a risk that weighs on France.

So, in terms of prospects, what will happen with French politics? It is impossible to predict. We could very well have a reform of the institutions, a sort of sixth republic, because we can say "we can no longer resolve modern problems, so we are creating a sixth republic". The Third Republic lasted from 1870 to 1940, I think, so that's 70 years. The Fifth Republic was a little younger, but we could change it. Some want it. They want a sixth republic with a proportional representation in the legislative elections. That's a bit technical, so I'll perhaps explain it another time. We are talking about participatory democracy, as exists in Switzerland or Austria, where people can contact the National Assembly and ask for a law to be passed, but at the initiative of citizens and not at the initiative of politicians.

So, there you go, there could be a reform of iran whatsapp number data institutions, there could be a serious debt crisis, like in Greece, where you have institutions like the IMF for example which take a bit of control over France or impose rules, laws, savings on it. So, that's possible. We could also have a situation blocked until 2027. That's what I think and what I fear, since in 2027, it's the next presidential elections, so, where we would put in place a government which is called a technician, which manages current affairs or which ensures that the country moves forward, but without resolving the major problems, the major fundamental issues. So, that's possible. Or else, some people think that everything will be fine and that it will work. So, as far as I'm concerned, I find that there are few reasons to be optimistic, but as usual, we must remain positive.

So, that's what I wanted to tell you today in this Café avec Johan video. I hope you enjoyed it. I would like you to tell me in the comments what you think of this situation from the outside. Share your thoughts. It's a good way to practice your written French and tell me what you think. Also download your summary sheet . The link is in the description. And tell me if you like this Café avec Johan video format, where I have a few notes and where I talk to you spontaneously, without telling myself "this video has to be short", that we display things. It's more spontaneous, like a podcast. Tell me if you would like me to continue or if you're not interested at all. I have always adapted to the Authentic French audience and I will do so. Leave a little "like" if you liked it, share with your friends, subscribe to the channel by activating notifications and thank you for staying until the end of this video.